2021 College Football Week 1 Win Probabilities

Here are pre-game win probabilities for select Week 1 college football matchups.

East Carolina at Appalachian State
+9SPREAD-9
29.8%
WIN %
70.2%
BYU at Arizona
-12.5SPREAD+12.5
76.9%
WIN %
23.1%
Southern Utah at Arizona State
+44.5SPREAD-44.5
0.40000000000001%
WIN %
99.6%
Rice at Arkansas
+19.5SPREAD-19.5
12.6%
WIN %
87.4%
Akron at Auburn
+37SPREAD-37
1.5%
WIN %
98.5%
Western Illinois at Ball State
+31SPREAD-31
3.4%
WIN %
96.6%
Wagner at Buffalo
+43.5SPREAD-43.5
0.5%
WIN %
99.5%
Nevada at California
+3.5SPREAD-3.5
41.8%
WIN %
58.2%
Duke at Charlotte
-6.5SPREAD+6.5
64.9%
WIN %
35.1%
Miami (OH) at Cincinnati
+23SPREAD-23
8.8%
WIN %
91.2%
Georgia at Clemson
+3SPREAD-3
43%
WIN %
57%
The Citadel at Coastal Carolina
+33.5SPREAD-33.5
2.4%
WIN %
97.6%
Northern Colorado at Colorado
+38SPREAD-38
1.3%
WIN %
98.7%
South Dakota State at Colorado State
+3SPREAD-3
43%
WIN %
57%
Florida Atlantic at Florida
+23.5SPREAD-23.5
8.3%
WIN %
91.7%
Long Island University at Florida International
+35SPREAD-35
2%
WIN %
98%
Notre Dame at Florida State
-7SPREAD+7
66%
WIN %
34%
Connecticut at Fresno State
+27.5SPREAD-27.5
5.3%
WIN %
94.7%
Army at Georgia State
+2SPREAD-2
45.3%
WIN %
54.7%
Northern Illinois at Georgia Tech
+18SPREAD-18
14.5%
WIN %
85.5%
Texas Tech at Houston
-1.5SPREAD+1.5
53.5%
WIN %
46.5%
Nebraska at Illinois
-6.5SPREAD+6.5
64.9%
WIN %
35.1%
UT San Antonio at Illinois
+5SPREAD-5
38.4%
WIN %
61.6%
Indiana at Iowa
+4SPREAD-4
40.7%
WIN %
59.3%
UAB at Jacksonville State
-16.5SPREAD+16.5
83.4%
WIN %
16.6%
South Dakota at Kansas
+13SPREAD-13
22.2%
WIN %
77.8%
Stanford at Kansas State
+3SPREAD-3
43%
WIN %
57%
Louisiana Monroe at Kentucky
+31SPREAD-31
3.4%
WIN %
96.6%
Ole Miss at Louisville
-10SPREAD+10
72.2%
WIN %
27.8%
West Virginia at Maryland
-2.5SPREAD+2.5
55.8%
WIN %
44.2%
Alabama at Miami
-19.5SPREAD+19.5
87.4%
WIN %
12.6%
Western Michigan at Michigan
+17SPREAD-17
15.9%
WIN %
84.1%
Ohio State at Minnesota
-14SPREAD+14
79.5%
WIN %
20.5%
Louisiana Tech at Mississippi State
+23SPREAD-23
8.8%
WIN %
91.2%
Central Michigan at Missouri
+14.5SPREAD-14.5
19.7%
WIN %
80.3%
Marshall at Navy
-2.5SPREAD+2.5
55.8%
WIN %
44.2%
South Florida at NC State
+19SPREAD-19
13.2%
WIN %
86.8%
Houston Baptist at New Mexico
+25.5SPREAD-25.5
6.7%
WIN %
93.3%
UTEP at New Mexico State
-9.5SPREAD+9.5
71.2%
WIN %
28.8%
Michigan State at Northwestern
+3SPREAD-3
43%
WIN %
57%
Syracuse at Ohio
-1.5SPREAD+1.5
53.5%
WIN %
46.5%
Fresno State at Oregon
+20.5SPREAD-20.5
11.4%
WIN %
88.6%
UMass at Pittsburgh
+38SPREAD-38
1.3%
WIN %
98.7%
Oregon State at Purdue
+7SPREAD-7
34%
WIN %
66%
Temple at Rutgers
+14.5SPREAD-14.5
19.7%
WIN %
80.3%
New Mexico State at San Diego State
+31.5SPREAD-31.5
3.2%
WIN %
96.8%
Southern Utah at San José State
+28SPREAD-28
5%
WIN %
95%
Southern Mississippi at South Alabama
+1SPREAD-1
47.7%
WIN %
52.3%
Bowling Green at Tennessee
+37SPREAD-37
1.5%
WIN %
98.5%
Louisiana at Texas
+9SPREAD-9
29.8%
WIN %
70.2%
Kent State at Texas A&M
+29.5SPREAD-29.5
4.1%
WIN %
95.9%
Baylor at Texas State
-14SPREAD+14
79.5%
WIN %
20.5%
Oklahoma at Tulane
-27.5SPREAD+27.5
94.7%
WIN %
5.3%
UC Davis at Tulsa
+22SPREAD-22
9.8%
WIN %
90.2%
Boise State at UCF
+6.5SPREAD-6.5
35.1%
WIN %
64.9%
LSU at UCLA
-3SPREAD+3
57%
WIN %
43%
Hawai'i at UCLA
+17.5SPREAD-17.5
15.2%
WIN %
84.8%
Eastern Washington at UNLV
-2SPREAD+2
54.7%
WIN %
45.3%
San José State at USC
+14SPREAD-14
20.5%
WIN %
79.5%
Weber State at Utah
+29.5SPREAD-29.5
4.1%
WIN %
95.9%
North Carolina at Virginia Tech
-6SPREAD+6
63.8%
WIN %
36.2%
Old Dominion at Wake Forest
+32SPREAD-32
3%
WIN %
97%
Utah State at Washington State
+17SPREAD-17
15.9%
WIN %
84.1%
Penn State at Wisconsin
+5.5SPREAD-5.5
37.3%
WIN %
62.7%


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