2021 College Football Week 4 Win Probabilities

Here are pre-game win probabilities for select Week 4 college football matchups.

Florida Atlantic at Air Force
+5.5SPREAD-5.5
37.3%
WIN %
62.7%
Southern Mississippi at Alabama
+45SPREAD-45
0.40000000000001%
WIN %
99.6%
Marshall at Appalachian State
+8SPREAD-8
31.9%
WIN %
68.1%
Colorado at Arizona State
+14SPREAD-14
20.5%
WIN %
79.5%
Texas A&M at Arkansas
-5.5SPREAD+5.5
62.7%
WIN %
37.3%
Miami (OH) at Army
+7.5SPREAD-7.5
33%
WIN %
67%
Georgia State at Auburn
+27SPREAD-27
5.6%
WIN %
94.4%
Toledo at Ball State
-4SPREAD+4
59.3%
WIN %
40.7%
Iowa State at Baylor
-6.5SPREAD+6.5
64.9%
WIN %
35.1%
Missouri at Boston College
-2SPREAD+2
54.7%
WIN %
45.3%
South Florida at BYU
+23.5SPREAD-23.5
8.3%
WIN %
91.7%
Florida International at Central Michigan
+11SPREAD-11
25.9%
WIN %
74.1%
Middle Tennessee at Charlotte
+2.5SPREAD-2.5
44.2%
WIN %
55.8%
UMass at Coastal Carolina
+36SPREAD-36
1.7%
WIN %
98.3%
Wyoming at Connecticut
-30SPREAD+30
96.1%
WIN %
3.9%
Kansas at Duke
+16SPREAD-16
17.3%
WIN %
82.7%
Texas State at Eastern Michigan
+6SPREAD-6
36.2%
WIN %
63.8%
Tennessee at Florida
+20SPREAD-20
12%
WIN %
88%
Louisville at Florida State
-2.5SPREAD+2.5
55.8%
WIN %
44.2%
UNLV at Fresno State
+31.5SPREAD-31.5
3.2%
WIN %
96.8%
Louisiana at Georgia Southern
-13.5SPREAD+13.5
78.6%
WIN %
21.4%
North Carolina at Georgia Tech
-12SPREAD+12
76%
WIN %
24%
Navy at Houston
+20SPREAD-20
12%
WIN %
88%
Colorado State at Iowa
+22.5SPREAD-22.5
9.3%
WIN %
90.7%
Troy at Louisiana Monroe
-23SPREAD+23
91.2%
WIN %
8.8%
North Texas at Louisiana Tech
+12.5SPREAD-12.5
23.1%
WIN %
76.9%
Kent State at Maryland
+14.5SPREAD-14.5
19.7%
WIN %
80.3%
UT San Antonio at Memphis
+3.5SPREAD-3.5
41.8%
WIN %
58.2%
Rutgers at Michigan
+19SPREAD-19
13.2%
WIN %
86.8%
Nebraska at Michigan State
+4SPREAD-4
40.7%
WIN %
59.3%
Bowling Green at Minnesota
+31SPREAD-31
3.4%
WIN %
96.6%
LSU at Mississippi State
-3SPREAD+3
57%
WIN %
43%
Clemson at NC State
-10SPREAD+10
72.2%
WIN %
27.8%
Hawai'i at New Mexico State
-17SPREAD+17
84.1%
WIN %
15.9%
Ohio at Northwestern
+15SPREAD-15
18.9%
WIN %
81.1%
Akron at Ohio State
+49SPREAD-49
0.2%
WIN %
99.8%
West Virginia at Oklahoma
+16.5SPREAD-16.5
16.6%
WIN %
83.4%
Kansas State at Oklahoma State
+7SPREAD-7
34%
WIN %
66%
Buffalo at Old Dominion
-12SPREAD+12
76%
WIN %
24%
Arizona at Oregon
+28SPREAD-28
5%
WIN %
95%
Illinois at Purdue
+11SPREAD-11
25.9%
WIN %
74.1%
Kentucky at South Carolina
-5.5SPREAD+5.5
62.7%
WIN %
37.3%
UCLA at Stanford
-4SPREAD+4
59.3%
WIN %
40.7%
Liberty at Syracuse
-6SPREAD+6
63.8%
WIN %
36.2%
SMU at TCU
+10SPREAD-10
27.8%
WIN %
72.2%
Texas Tech at Texas
+10SPREAD-10
27.8%
WIN %
72.2%
UAB at Tulane
+4SPREAD-4
40.7%
WIN %
59.3%
Arkansas State at Tulsa
+14SPREAD-14
20.5%
WIN %
79.5%
Oregon State at USC
+13SPREAD-13
22.2%
WIN %
77.8%
Washington State at Utah
+14SPREAD-14
20.5%
WIN %
79.5%
Boise State at Utah State
-9SPREAD+9
70.2%
WIN %
29.8%
New Mexico at UTEP
+1.5SPREAD-1.5
46.5%
WIN %
53.5%
Georgia at Vanderbilt
-34.5SPREAD+34.5
97.9%
WIN %
2.1%
Wake Forest at Virginia
+4SPREAD-4
40.7%
WIN %
59.3%
California at Washington
+7.5SPREAD-7.5
33%
WIN %
67%
Indiana at Western Kentucky
-9.5SPREAD+9.5
71.2%
WIN %
28.8%
San José State at Western Michigan
+2.5SPREAD-2.5
44.2%
WIN %
55.8%
Notre Dame at Wisconsin
+5.5SPREAD-5.5
37.3%
WIN %
62.7%


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