2021 College Football Week 5 Win Probabilities

Here are pre-game win probabilities for select Week 5 college football matchups.

Ohio at Akron
-9.5SPREAD+9.5
71.2%
WIN %
28.8%
Ole Miss at Alabama
+14.5SPREAD-14.5
19.7%
WIN %
80.3%
Army at Ball State
-9.5SPREAD+9.5
71.2%
WIN %
28.8%
Nevada at Boise State
+6SPREAD-6
36.2%
WIN %
63.8%
Western Michigan at Buffalo
-7SPREAD+7
66%
WIN %
34%
Washington State at California
+7.5SPREAD-7.5
33%
WIN %
67%
Boston College at Clemson
+14.5SPREAD-14.5
19.7%
WIN %
80.3%
Louisiana Monroe at Coastal Carolina
+34.5SPREAD-34.5
2.1%
WIN %
97.9%
USC at Colorado
-7.5SPREAD+7.5
67%
WIN %
33%
Tulane at East Carolina
-3SPREAD+3
57%
WIN %
43%
Florida International at Florida Atlantic
+10.5SPREAD-10.5
26.8%
WIN %
73.2%
Syracuse at Florida State
+5.5SPREAD-5.5
37.3%
WIN %
62.7%
Arkansas at Georgia
+18SPREAD-18
14.5%
WIN %
85.5%
Arkansas State at Georgia Southern
+1.5SPREAD-1.5
46.5%
WIN %
53.5%
Appalachian State at Georgia State
-10SPREAD+10
72.2%
WIN %
27.8%
Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech
-3SPREAD+3
57%
WIN %
43%
Fresno State at Hawai'i
-11SPREAD+11
74.1%
WIN %
25.9%
Charlotte at Illinois
+11SPREAD-11
25.9%
WIN %
74.1%
Kansas at Iowa State
+34.5SPREAD-34.5
2.1%
WIN %
97.9%
Oklahoma at Kansas State
-11.5SPREAD+11.5
75.1%
WIN %
24.9%
Bowling Green at Kent State
+16.5SPREAD-16.5
16.6%
WIN %
83.4%
Florida at Kentucky
-7.5SPREAD+7.5
67%
WIN %
33%
Auburn at LSU
+3SPREAD-3
43%
WIN %
57%
Iowa at Maryland
-3SPREAD+3
57%
WIN %
43%
Virginia at Miami
+3.5SPREAD-3.5
41.8%
WIN %
58.2%
Central Michigan at Miami (OH)
+1SPREAD-1
47.7%
WIN %
52.3%
Western Kentucky at Michigan State
+11SPREAD-11
25.9%
WIN %
74.1%
Marshall at Middle Tennessee
-10.5SPREAD+10.5
73.2%
WIN %
26.8%
Tennessee at Missouri
+3SPREAD-3
43%
WIN %
57%
UCF at Navy
-16.5SPREAD+16.5
83.4%
WIN %
16.6%
Louisiana Tech at NC State
+18SPREAD-18
14.5%
WIN %
85.5%
Northwestern at Nebraska
+11.5SPREAD-11.5
24.9%
WIN %
75.1%
Air Force at New Mexico
-11.5SPREAD+11.5
75.1%
WIN %
24.9%
Duke at North Carolina
+20SPREAD-20
12%
WIN %
88%
Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois
+1.5SPREAD-1.5
46.5%
WIN %
53.5%
Cincinnati at Notre Dame
-1.5SPREAD+1.5
53.5%
WIN %
46.5%
Baylor at Oklahoma State
+3.5SPREAD-3.5
41.8%
WIN %
58.2%
Washington at Oregon State
+1.5SPREAD-1.5
46.5%
WIN %
53.5%
Indiana at Penn State
+12.5SPREAD-12.5
23.1%
WIN %
76.9%
Minnesota at Purdue
+2.5SPREAD-2.5
44.2%
WIN %
55.8%
Southern Mississippi at Rice
+1.5SPREAD-1.5
46.5%
WIN %
53.5%
Ohio State at Rutgers
-15SPREAD+15
81.1%
WIN %
18.9%
New Mexico State at San José State
+27.5SPREAD-27.5
5.3%
WIN %
94.7%
South Florida at SMU
+21SPREAD-21
10.8%
WIN %
89.2%
Louisiana at South Alabama
-12.5SPREAD+12.5
76.9%
WIN %
23.1%
Troy at South Carolina
+6.5SPREAD-6.5
35.1%
WIN %
64.9%
Oregon at Stanford
-8SPREAD+8
68.1%
WIN %
31.9%
Texas at TCU
-4.5SPREAD+4.5
60.4%
WIN %
39.6%
Memphis at Temple
-11SPREAD+11
74.1%
WIN %
25.9%
Mississippi State at Texas A&M
+7SPREAD-7
34%
WIN %
66%
Houston at Tulsa
+3.5SPREAD-3.5
41.8%
WIN %
58.2%
Liberty at UAB
+2SPREAD-2
45.3%
WIN %
54.7%
Arizona State at UCLA
+3SPREAD-3
43%
WIN %
57%
Toledo at UMass
-27SPREAD+27
94.4%
WIN %
5.6%
BYU at Utah State
-10SPREAD+10
72.2%
WIN %
27.8%
Old Dominion at UTEP
+5.5SPREAD-5.5
37.3%
WIN %
62.7%
UNLV at UT San Antonio
+21SPREAD-21
10.8%
WIN %
89.2%
Connecticut at Vanderbilt
+15SPREAD-15
18.9%
WIN %
81.1%
Louisville at Wake Forest
+7SPREAD-7
34%
WIN %
66%
Texas Tech at West Virginia
+7SPREAD-7
34%
WIN %
66%
Michigan at Wisconsin
+1.5SPREAD-1.5
46.5%
WIN %
53.5%


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