2025 Nations League Semi-final Preview - Spain vs. France: Which team will barge into the Final? JJune 5, 2025 by Marc Jerbs

Spain and France are set to collide in a much-anticipated UEFA Nations League 2025 semi-final on June 5 at the MHP Arena in Stuttgart, Germany. With a spot in the final on the line, two of Europe's footballing giants prepare for what promises to be an enthralling showdown.

The MHP Arena, a venue renowned for hosting elite sporting events and accommodating nearly 60,000 spectators, offers a fitting backdrop for this high-stakes clash. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00 PM BST / 9:00 PM SAST, ensuring prime-time viewing for fans across Europe.

Team Form and Context

Spain enters the semi-final in imperious form. Reigning European champions and holders of the Nations League title after their dramatic 2023 penalty shootout win over Croatia, La Roja are currently unbeaten in 18 matches and sit second in the FIFA world rankings. Their momentum includes a landmark Euro 2024 triumph, which featured a 2-1 semi-final victory over France—adding extra spice to this latest encounter.

France, ranked third in the world and 2021 Nations League champions, are looking for redemption. With head coach Didier Deschamps set to step down after the 2026 World Cup, Les Bleus are eager to cap his tenure with another trophy. Despite recent setbacks and a string of defensive injuries, France showed resilience in their quarterfinal win over Croatia and remain a dangerous force.

Squad News and Key Players

Spain will be without several stalwarts from their Euro-winning squad, including Rodri, Dani Carvajal, and Aymeric Laporte due to injury. Their absence opens the door for rising stars like teenage defenders Dean Huijsen and Pau Cubarsí. The Spanish attack remains potent, spearheaded by a vibrant quartet: Lamine Yamal, Pedri, Nico Williams, and Mikel Oyarzabal.

France also faces defensive limitations, with William Saliba, Jules Koundé, and Dayot Upamecano all unavailable. Mike Maignan is expected to start in goal, backed by Ibrahima Konaté and Lucas Hernandez in central defense. In midfield, Aurélien Tchouaméni, Manu Koné, and Adrien Rabiot will look to control the tempo, while the frontline will be led by superstar Kylian Mbappé, joined by Michael Olise and Randal Kolo Muani.

Spain vs. France Sports Bet Odds

La Roja are the favorites to win the game. Here are our latest odds:

Full Time Result odds are 2.30 for La Roja, 3.25 for Draw and 3.20 for Les Bleus.
Handicap Result has La Roja -1 with 4.33 odds, Tie (France +1) is at 4.00 odds and France +1 with 1.57 odds.
Total Goals is set at 2.5 with both the Over and Under at 1.90 odds.

Tactics and Expectations

Tactically, this clash pits contrasting philosophies. Spain's trademark possession-based, quick-passing approach—now driven by youthful energy—will meet France's balanced system that melds experience with explosive talent. Deschamps may rotate some players who recently featured in the Champions League final, which could influence the rhythm and energy of his squad.

Historically, meetings between these two nations have been closely contested. Each side has two wins in their last five encounters, with Spain edging the most recent—last summer's Euro 2024 semi-final. Given their form and depth, Spain enters with a slight edge. A narrow 2-1 victory after extra time is a realistic outcome.

Final Thoughts

This semi-final represents more than just a place in the final—it's a battle between a surging Spanish generation and a proud French side looking to reassert itself. Spain aims to extend their golden run, while France eyes redemption and one last title under Deschamps' leadership.

With both sides facing injury challenges, adaptability and tactical precision will be crucial. Expect a captivating match full of intensity, skill, and narrative, as the UEFA Nations League continues to cement its reputation as one of international football's premier competitions.

No matter who advances, this encounter promises a thrilling display of European football at its finest.