2025 Women's EURO Quarter-final Preview - France vs. Germany: Can Les Bleues continue their recent dominance over DFB-Frauen? July 18, 2025 by Marc Jerbs

France and Germany are set to collide in a highly anticipated quarter-final at UEFA Women's Euro 2025 on July 19 at St. Jakob-Park in Basel. With both teams in strong form and aiming for a spot in the semifinals, this clash between two European giants promises to deliver top-tier football.

France: In-Form and Reinventing

France enters the tournament on a high, having dominated their UEFA Nations League group with six straight wins - a historic achievement for the squad. Their attacking line, featuring the pace and flair of Sandy Baltimore and Kadidiatou Diani, has been complemented by a solidifying center-back duo in Griedge Mbock and Maëlle Lakrar.

Under new head coach Laurent Bonadei, the team has undergone significant tactical adjustments, including a return to the 4-3-3 system and a generational shift that saw experienced veterans like former captain Wendie Renard left out. The changes reflect a forward-looking strategy aimed at building a more dynamic and cohesive unit.

Despite their strong showing, France still carries the weight of past underachievement, having yet to win a major title - be it the Euros, World Cup, or Olympics. Their recent 4-0 demolition of hosts Switzerland, however, signaled their intent and potential. Key players to watch include vice-captain Sakina Karchaoui, now thriving in a central midfield role, and top scorer Clara Mateo, who netted 18 domestic goals this season and is pushing for a spot in the starting XI.

Germany: Depth and Determination

Germany comes into this quarter-final unbeaten in 2025, boasting five wins and one draw in Nations League action. Their recent performances, including a commanding 4-0 victory over the Netherlands, underline their attacking strength. However, the team has had to navigate challenges - most notably the early tournament injury to captain Giulia Gwinn, which forced a leadership reshuffle. Janina Minge now wears the armband, supported by vice-captain Sjoeke Nüsken.

Despite setbacks, Germany has shown grit and adaptability, particularly in midfield control and comeback wins. Klara Bühl has emerged as a standout creative presence, while Jule Brand continues to shine in flashes, though greater consistency is needed. Veteran goalkeeper Ann-Katrin Berger brings experience to the squad but has faced scrutiny for some high-risk decisions that exposed defensive gaps.

France vs. Germany Sports Bet Odds

Les Bleus are the favorites to win the game. Here are our latest odds:

• Les Parisiens is favored by 1 point, with a full-time result of 1.95.
• Die Nationalelf are the underdogs by 1 point, with a full-time result of 3.90.
• Draw has a full-time result of 3.50.
• Total Goals is set at 2.5 points, with the Under at 2.10 and the Over at 1.70.

Venue and Conditions

The match takes place at St. Jakob-Park, Basel's premier football venue and Switzerland's largest stadium, with a capacity of over 34,000. Its state-of-the-art facilities include heated turf, ensuring optimal playing conditions. Forecasts predict mild weather with light breezes - ideal for fast-paced football.

Tactical Matchup

France will likely stick to Bonadei's possession-based 4-3-3, utilizing width and speed on the flanks, combined with sharp transitions and controlled buildup.

Germany, under Christian Wück, is expected to focus on physical midfield duels and incisive forward runs. With Gwinn sidelined, the team must remain tactically flexible and disciplined at the back.

Prediction and Key Dynamics

This quarter-final pits France's youthful energy and attacking verve against Germany's structured, battle-tested approach. The outcome may hinge on France's ability to stay compact defensively and Germany's success in adapting to injuries while capitalizing on key moments.

With a semi-final place and a potential path to long-awaited silverware - on the line, expect a thrilling, tightly contested encounter between two of Europe's elite women's sides.